Showing 51 - 60 of 2,088
This working paper presents a comprehensive overview of the theoretical structure of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF), a multi-region dynamic general equilibrium model that is used by the IMF for a variety of tasks including policy analysis, risk analysis, and surveillance
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402511
This paper examines the impact of exchange rate regimes on bilateral trade while differentiating the effects of ""words"" and ""deeds"". Our findings-based on an extended database for de jure and de facto exchange rate classifications-show that while fixed exchange rate regimes increase trade,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402578
We account for the appreciation of the real exchange rate in Mexico between 1988 and 2002 using a two sector dynamic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with two driving forces: (i) differential productivity growth across sectors and (ii) a decline in the cost of borrowing in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402822
, financial sector depth, country risk, a measure of cost of insurance, and the World Bank governance indexes. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402994
This paper develops a theory of international currency portfolios that holds in general equilibrium, and that is … short (long) position in foreign currency. (4) A fiscal theory of exchange rate determination is compatible with general … equilibrium in a two-country world. (5) Equilibria are determinate when both fiscal and monetary policy are passive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403178
This paper describes the methodology and the data used to compute nominal and real effective exchange rate indices in the International Monetary Fund’s Information Notice System (INS). In particular, it highlights improvements to the INS implemented over 1994-96, including modifications to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403303
This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403309
A number of industrialized countries have recently offered inflation-indexed bonds. Some members of another group of countries that had earlier adopted more comprehensive indexation in response to high inflation have taken steps to reduce the scope of indexation in their economies. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403310
Several authors have recently investigated the predictability of exchange rates by fitting a sequence of long-horizon error-correction regressions. By considering the implied vector error-correction model, we show that little is to be gained from estimating such regressions for horizons greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403313
After the speculative attacks on government-controlled exchange rates in Europe and in Mexico, economists began to develop models of currency crises with multiple solutions. In these models, a currency crisis occurs when the economy suddenly jumps from one solution to another. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403315