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closer integration of world capital markets. By reducing constraints on international capital flows, this movement makes the …
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converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market … countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public … savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396962
This paper studies a panel of China''s provinces over the period 1996-2009 during which urban household saving rates increased from 19 percent of disposable income to 30 percent. It finds that the increase in urban saving rates is negatively associated with the decline in real interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398358
This paper looks at the dramatic decline in global real interest rates in recent years from a historical perspective and examines the various factors that may account for this trend. We show that current levels of real interest rates on long-term bonds in advanced economies are not low by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400518
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978553
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The previous literature points to a high correlation between domestic rates of investment and savings among OECD … investment on the rate of domestic savings is statistically insignificant most of the time and generally smaller than 0.3 for any … countries. Some take this as evidence of limited financial integration in the industrialized world. This paper presents new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400839