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this had on labor productivity also played a role. In many countries, post-2007 employment losses were modest, as real … this context, the paper discusses the different experiences of the UK (where employment increased) and Spain (where it fell … sharply), and finds that almost two thirds of the employment losses in Spain resulted from the failure of real wages to adjust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408256
statistically significant output effect under floating exchange rate regimes. For the estimation of the output effects of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252736
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621650
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479436
Convergence and spillovers across countries and within countries are old, but recurrent policy concerns, and India is no exception to this rule. This paper examines convergence and spillovers across Indian states using non-stationary panel data techniques. Results on convergence among Indian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402807
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572544
Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252734
This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007-08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019853