Showing 1 - 10 of 1,164
We develop a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations model with nonhomothetic preferences that nests several explanations for the decline in the natural rate of interest (r*) suggested in the literature: demographic change, a slowdown in productivity growth, a rise in income inequality, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170272
This paper uses census and household survey data on Cameroon, Ghana, and South Africa to examine immigration's impact … in the context of a segmented labor market in Sub-Saharan Africa. We find that immigration affects (i) employment (ii … the impact depends on the degree of complementarity between immigrants and native workers' skills. Immigration is found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300611
point decline in the unemployment rate. Our analysis shows that a large part of the decline in unemployment was structural …-level administrative data - that large immigration flows since 2012 have had dampening effects on aggregate wage growth, as complementarity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155220
This paper draws out the parallels between Korea and Japan in terms of demographics, potential growth, balance sheets, asset prices and inflation. Korea's demographic trends seem to track Japan's with a lag of about 20 years. Low productivity in the service sector and labor market duality are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716396
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over the life cycle when one faces not only idiosyncratic income risks, but also changes in longevity risk and pension benefits. We pick China as a case study since China has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009609
Korea's economy has leaped to high-income status thanks to several decades of sustained high growth. However, population aging and shifts in global demand provide headwinds for future growth and Korea now faces the effects of COVID-19 on economic activity. This paper asseses the expected drag on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604751
Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan's outlook using the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) with newly-added demographic features. Implementation of a not-fully-believed path of structural reforms can significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978382
unemployment—compared to the past. We examine another aspect that could explain this empirical finding, namely the demographic … effectiveness may moderate in graying societies. It then uses Bayesian estimation techniques for the U.S., Canada, Japan, U.K., and … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667511
unemployment by about 2.2 pp after five years. If sequencing is required, starting with PMRs would be more effective in boosting … output, while starting with LMRs would reduce unemployment faster. Finally, increasing unemployment benefits would be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122485
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190