results indicate that the forecast model incorporating internet search data provides additional information about tourist …

This paper is an empirical study of the links between monetary variables and inflation based on Cagan’s equation and … differenced model overcomes Evans’ critique of this test and that chronic inflation is essentially a monetary phenomenon caused by …

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA … informational value as they consistently outperform naive forecast approaches. However, we also document that there is room for … improvement: two thirds of the key macroeconomic variables that we examine are forecast inefficiently and 6 variables (growth of …

drivers of the predictions include high levels of unrest, food price inflation and mobile phone penetration, which accord with …