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The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395943
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We analyze determinants of sovereign bond yields in 22 advanced economies over the 1980-2010 period using panel cointegration techniques. The application of cointegration methodology allows distinguishing between long-run (debt-to-GDP ratio, potential growth) and short-run (inflation, short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671580
Asset allocation decisions of international investors are at the core of capital flows. This paper explores the impact of these decisions on long-term government bond yields, using a quarterly investor base dataset for 22 advanced economies over 2004-2012. We find that a one percentage point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394301
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substantial pass-through effects to inflation, given the large and persistent depreciation movement. Widespread indexation … indexation is less relevant to the inflation dynamics. Overall, inflation would have remained within the central bank's target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711715
The paper models the optimal debt management strategy of the public sector when issuing nominal, price-level-indexed and foreign-denominated debt securities. The model predicts that the variance of inflation, the size of the public debt, the variance of the real exchange rate, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401847
This paper examines the relationship between the degree of wage indexation chosen by private agents and the degree of … indexation of the public debt. It is shown that the government is likely to respond to an increase in the degree of wage … indexation by increasing the portion of the public debt that is indexed. By contrast, the effect of an increase in public debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398023
determine the extent to which efficient arbitrage takes place under conditions of partial financial indexation. The data cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396478
This paper examines the role of credit markets in the transmission of U.S. macro-financial shocks through the prism of a financial conditions index (FCI) based on a vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. It explores the relative predictive power of market variables compared to credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403221