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This paper investigates the impact of long-run terms-of-trade shocks. Analytically, we show that, if capital goods are largely importable or the labor supply is sufficiently elastic, then natural-resource booms increase aggregate investment and worsen the current account, but Dutch ‘Disease’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424793
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the performance of commodity-exporting countries in terms of macroeconomic stability and economic growth in a panel of up to 129 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main findings are threefold. First, we find that overall government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399309
We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and monetary sectors, we estimate their key policy and structural parameters. Our findings suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112123
Some natural resources-oil and minerals in particular-exert a negative and nonlinear impact on growth via their deleterious impact on institutional quality. We show this result to be very robust. The Nigerian experience provides telling confirmation of this aspect of natural resources. Waste and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403854
This paper provides a brief overview of the evolution of exchange rate policy in the Islamic Republic of Iran from 1993 to 2002 and reviews the basic criteria for the choice of the exchange rate regime in the medium term. The analysis highlights the merits of an intermediate regime which would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404022
in Norway, Chile (copper), the State of Alaska, Venezuela, Kuwait, and Oman, and to draw some preliminary conclusions on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399919
Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norway has saved too much, thereby …, chiefly because it also accounts for future aging costs. Unsurprisingly, we find that Norway's current assets exceed its … mainland GDP) and aging pressures are only commencing. Therefore, Norway's intertemporal financial net worth (IFNW) is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905922
Dutch disease is often referred as a situation in which large and sustained foreign currency inflows lead to a contraction of the tradable sector by giving rise to a real appreciation of the home currency. This paper documents that this syndrome has been witnessed by many emerging markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605138
We study the optimal foreign exchange (FX) intervention policy in response to a positive terms of trade shock and associated Dutch disease episode in a small open economy model. We find that during a Dutch disease episode tradable production drops below the socially optimal level, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671116