Showing 1 - 10 of 491
We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database …, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks … response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251990
inflation targeting regime in the transmission from exchange rate movements to prices. We perform a set of robustness checks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436820
Central bankers often assert that low inflation and anchoring of inflation expectations are good for economic growth … advanced and emerging market economies over the period 1990-2014. Inflation anchoring in each country is measured as the … response of inflation expectations to inflation surprises (Levin and others, 2004). We find that credit constrained industries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809557
This paper explains inflation performance in a sample of industrial and transition economies by looking at policymakers … inflation, particularly (but not exclusively) in countries where the government securities market is not well developed. Other … factors with significant effect on inflation include relative price changes, central bank independence, the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400778
Economists generally accept the proposition that high inflation rates generate inefficiencies that reduce society … higher degree of political instability is associated with higher inflation. The paper also draws relevant policy implications … for the optimal design of inflation-stabilization programs and of the institutions favorable to price stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400964
Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605466
negative shocks. Results are consistent with higher inflation, lower employment and disappointing TFP growth rates experienced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022074
We test the existence of the balance sheet channel of monetary policy in a middle-income country. Firm-level data scarcity and quality, in such a context, make the identification of this channel a steep challenge. To circumvent this challenge, we use panel instrumental variables estimation with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154690
We leverage insights from machine learning to optimize the tradeoff between bias and variance when estimating economic models using pooled datasets. Specifically, we develop a simple algorithm that estimates the similarity of economic structures across countries and selects the optimal pool of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251287
This paper develops a gravity model framework to estimate the impact of infectious diseases on bilateral tourism flows among 38,184 pairs of countries over the period 1995-2017. The results confirm that international tourism is adversely affected by disease risk, and the magnitude of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252260