Showing 1 - 10 of 491
on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154675
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401395
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487229
This paper examines the relative importance of monetary growth and exchange rate depreciation as causes of inflation in … autoregression (VAR) analysis suggest that both monetary expansion and exchange rate adjustments cause inflation in a number of these … countries. However, the failure of the tests to attribute the bulk of the variance in inflation in most of the countries to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396232
It is widely feared that, once prices are decontrolled in the formerly centrally–planned economies, households’ release of previously accumulated money will trigger a hyperinflation. This paper finds, instead, that whether a country’s fiscal, monetary, and labor market policies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396464
In countries such as the Soviet Union, where wealth is mainly stored in monetary assets, the behavior of the money to income ratio is a poor indicator of the growth of undesired monetary balances (monetary overhang). In those countries a monetary overhang is primarily a wealth overhang, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398228
This paper is an empirical study of the links between monetary variables and inflation based on Cagan’s equation and … differenced model overcomes Evans’ critique of this test and that chronic inflation is essentially a monetary phenomenon caused by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398740
stability, financial deepening, level of development, state employment, and fiscal redistribution are found to enhance income … any austere effects; low inflation reinforces, rather than counteracts, the income-equalizing effect of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400206
predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400653