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Leading Indicators of Growth and Inflation in Turkey
Leigh, Daniel - 2002
Growth and inflation in Turkey have been volatile over the last two decades. It would, therefore, be useful to identify … indicators that anticipate economic conditions and inflation. This paper investigates the predictive performance of economic … indicators for inflation and real output growth in Turkey. We find that (i) the forecasting ability of individual indicators is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401315
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A simple multivariate filter for estimating potential output
Blagrave, Patrick; Garcia-Saltos, Roberto; Laxton, Douglas - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281619
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A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output
Blagrave, Patrick - 2015
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412027
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A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic
Benes, Jaromir - 2004
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404073
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Pilot project on concentration and distribution : measures for a selected set of financial soundness indicators
Crowley, Joseph; Koukpamou, Plapa; Loukoianova, Elena; … - 2016
This paper reports the main findings of a pilot project launched in July 2014 by the IMF's Statistics Department to test augmenting the IMF's financial soundness indicators (FSIs) with concentration and distribution measures (CDMs) to capture tail risks, concentrations, variations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436731
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Aggregation of Economic Indicators Across Countries : Exchange Rate versus PPP Based GDP Weights
Schulze-Gattas, Marianne - 1992
Relative GDP shares are frequently used as weights in aggregations. In order to ensure that these weights reflect countries’ shares in real output, GDP data in national currencies should be converted into a common numeraire currency at purchasing power parity (PPP) rates. A review of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398543
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Intangible investment and low inflation : a framework and some evidence
Lall, Subir; Zeng, Li - 2020
that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302067
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Some alternative monetary facts
Stella, Peter; Kumar, Manmohan S.; Bhargava, Apoorv - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487229
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A monthly indicator of economic growth for low income countries
Stanger, Michael - 2020
Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252734
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Structural transformation and the volatility of aggregate output in OECD countries
Ngouana, Constant Lonkeng - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009706788