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We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251307
With public debt soaring across the world, a growing concern is whether current debt levels are a harbinger of fiscal crises, thereby restricting the policy space in a downturn. The empirical evidence to date is however inconclusive, and the true cost of debt may be overstated if interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170046
We study the sovereign debt duration chosen by the government in the context of a standard model of sovereign default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667555
default model. We find that a one-year standstill generates welfare gains for the sovereign equivalent to a permanent … consumption increase of between 0.1% and 0.3%, depending on the initial shock. However, except when it avoids a default, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486150
macroeconomic fundamentals and sectoral net worth can affect the likelihood of undergoing default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613508
issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model a la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518920
This paper analyzes the effects of including collective action clauses (CACs) and enhanced CACs in international (nondomestic law-governed) sovereign bonds on sovereigns' borrowing costs, using secondary-market bond yield spreads. Our findings indicate that inclusion of enhanced CACs, introduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301836
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487171
prices are serially correlated; variance ratio tests and other related tests overwhelmingly reject Samuelson’s martingale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396000