Furceri, Davide; Ahmed Hannan, Swarnali; Ostry, … - 2019
We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using …. The effects on output and productivity tend to be magnified when tariffs rise during expansions, for advanced economies …, and when tariffs go up, not down. Our results are robust to a large number of perturbations to our methodology, and we …