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The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190
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of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an … rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102193
This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402708
This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent … with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun … coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to growth—from forecasts is fairly similar to that in the data for various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394299
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396053
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412027
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388661
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