The paper estimates two time-varying parameter models of Chilean inflation: a Phillips curve model and a small open …; forecasts that include the pre-announced inflation target as a regressor are relatively better; the Phillips curve model …

Against the backdrop of an ongoing review of the inflation-targeting framework, this paper examines the real …-time inflation forecasts of the Bank of Canada with the aim of identifying potential areas for improvement. Not surprisingly, the … results show that errors in forecasting non-core inflation (commodity prices et cetera) are found to be the largest …

on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger …

Belarusian authorities contemplate transiting to inflation targeting. The paper suggests a small structural model at …

about a country significantly correlate with macroeconomic variables (e.g., real GDP, inflation, capital flows), conditional …

has been de-emphasized, developments in the monetary aggregates remain an important indicator of future inflation. The … exchange rate and import prices are also relevant, particularly for inflation in the manufacturing sector …

This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a … leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation. A univariate …

This paper forecasts inflation in Sudan following two methodologies: the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model and … by looking at the leading indicators of inflation. The estimated ARMA model remarkably tracks the actual inflation during … indicators explaining inflation in Sudan. Inflation forecasts based on both approaches suggest that inflationary pressures for …

This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector … demonstrates that the exchange rate and international inflation have a strong impact on local prices. Available monetary …