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lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a … panel of advanced economies that greater labor income uncertainty is significantly associated with higher household savings … precautionary savings motive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396946
incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in … savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396005
Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252734
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479444
This paper studies the dynamics of external accounts during 278 economic recession events in the past 60 years and sheds light on key factors that shape these patterns. Economic recessions trigger highly-persistent increases in the current account, driven by an initial, sharp decline in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605536
relative rise of the U.S. savings rate is helping narrow global imbalances. But with a likely earlier recovery in the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404335
rather than a greater 'effort' to save it. Finally, we find evidence that, while savings during the boom help to increase … post-boom income, the composition of such savings matters. Specifically, in past episodes, savings allocated to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395228
This paper studies the effect of two labor market institutions, unemployment insurance (UI) and job search assistance (JSA), on the output cost and welfare cost of recessions. The paper develops a tractable incomplete-market model with search unemployment, skill depreciation during unemployment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011670426
To assess the feasibility of the national accounts treating as assets depletable resources extracted for sale, the paper examines three issues: 1. whether treating natural resources as assets when they are used requires symmetrical accounting when they enter economic reserves; 2. at what stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396044
This paper describes the primary framework associating the four principal price indices in the system of economic statistics—the Producer Price Index (PPI), the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Export and Import Price Indices (XPI and MPI)—with the macroeconomic value aggregates they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399800