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Background paper prepared for the October 2020 IMF World Economic Outlook. This paper provides a detailed presentation … of the simulation results from the October 2020 IMF World Economic Outlook chapter 3 and an additional scenario with …
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The empirical analysis in ""International R&D Spillovers"" (Coe and Helpman, 1995) is first revisited by applying modern panel cointegration estimation techniques to an expanded data set that we have constructed for the purpose of this study. The new estimates confirm the key results reported in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400689
Using a dataset which breaks down FDI flows into primary, secondary and tertiary sector investments and a GMM dynamic approach to address concerns about endogeneity, the paper analyzes various macroeconomic, developmental, and institutional/qualitative determinants of FDI in a sample of emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402707
We estimate the respective contributions of institutions, geography, and trade in determining cross-country income levels using recently developed instruments for institutions and trade. Our results indicate that the quality of institutions ""trumps"" everything else. Controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401492
The quality of institutions-meaning the quality of contract enforcement, property rights, shareholder protection, and the like-has received a great deal of attention in recent years. The purposes of this paper are twofold. First, it studies the consequences of trade when institutional...
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This paper quantifies the economic impact of uncertainty shocks in the UK using data that span the recent Great Recession. We find that uncertainty shocks have a significant impact on economic activity in the UK, depressing industrial production and GDP. The peak impact is felt fairly quickly at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395348
and real shocks, and the credibility component depends on the mean and risk of real asset returns. Thus, observed booms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396072