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Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518928
gathered during data ROSC mission. The entropy of DQAF indicators could also be used in the construction of a cardinal index of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397171
This paper examines the performance of emerging market bank stocks around the time of rating changes by major international agencies. The data suggest that downgrades on average have followed periods of negative cumulative abnormal returns for banks, although upgrades have not followed periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400871
We contrast how monetary policy affects intangible relative to tangible investment. We document that the stock prices of firms with more intangible assets react less to monetary policy shocks, as identified from Fed Funds futures movements around FOMC announcements. Consistent with the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300640
We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway's administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905850
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks there is substantial dispersion in these exposures, which is partly explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400963
Brady bonds offer substantially higher returns than Eurobonds. This paper examines the Brady and Eurobond markets for developing country debt and finds that the apparent arbitrage opportunity is not only smaller than it at first appears, but is infeasible given the illiquidity of the Eurobond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395922
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400143
Empirically, output and asset returns are highly positively correlated across the United States and the other major industrialized countries. Standard business cycle models that assume flexible prices and wages, in the Real Business Cycle tradition, have great difficulties explaining this fact....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400201