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appropriately. Finally, we implement a simple stochastic volatility model and simulate the credit transition matrix for two large … the constant volatility case. In particular, it can shift CTM probabilities towards lower credit risk categories …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399716
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for … volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was consistent with both volatility clustering and mean reversion … specification improvements were always possible. The model corroborated stylized findings in volatility modeling and has potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400143
We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401677
This paper finds that systematic default risk, or the event of widespread defaults in the corporate sector, is an important determinant of equity returns. Moreover, the market price of systematic default risk is one order of magnitude higher than the market price of other risk factors. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402251
Option prices provide valuable information on market expectations. This paper attempts to extract market expectations, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate. Returns'' volatilities are inferred from observed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389973
countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank's foreign currency position …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518682
This paper examines the impact of changes in margin requirements on returns, transaction volumes, and price volatility … shift trade to the competing exchange. Price volatility or returns are not systematically affected by changes in margin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395916
coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394536
the size of the U.K. derivative markets. No definitive empirical support for a change in the transmission process is found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401217