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This paper considers the implications of the prospective aging of the U.S. population for the social security system and concludes that the large and growing cashflow surpluses of the social security trust funds should be saved to help insulate living stands against this change. A number of...
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The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition … over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404250
This paper considers the long-run evolution of the world economy in a model where countries'' opportunities to develop … opportunities for the remaining developing countries. Whether or not the world economy converges to widespread prosperity depends on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404231
The ongoing demographic changes will bring about a substantial shift in the size and the age composition of the population, which will have significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes usually do not take center stage in many macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411766
. Aging populations could adversely affect saving rates in these economies, particularly after 2025. For the world, one may … observe that, initially, the Asian Tigers could become increasingly important for world savings, reflecting their increased … weight in the world economy, their high saving and growth rates, and the aging of the industrial countries. After 2025, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400307
The paper assesses the government expenditure effects from changing demographics in the Asian “Tiger” economies through 2050. With some exceptions, their limited social insurance commitments initially suggest that aging populations may not adversely affect fiscal balances. Yet for all the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400543
The macroeconomic effects of population aging are explored using data for the G-7 countries and Australia. The link between changes in birth and mortality rates on the one hand, and dependency ratios on the other, is first discussed, then empirical evidence on the effects of dependency ratios on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398007
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