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Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence From Survey Data

Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos - 2011

France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom during the period of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). Our findings …'s and market experts’ deficit forecasts also increased in France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, particularly during the … indicate that accuracy of financial expert deficit forecasts increased in France. Convergence between the European Commission …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412192

Modeling optimal fiscal consolidation paths in a selection of European countries

Kanda, Daniel - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424829

Fiscal expectations under the Stability and Growth Pact : evidence from survey data

Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487131

The cost of future policy : intertemporal public sector balance sheets in the G7

Koshima, Yugo; Harris, Jason; Tieman, Alexander F.; … - 2021

This paper compiles the Intertemporal Public Sector Balance Sheets for all G7 countries and examines their relationship with government borrowing costs. In 2018, all G7 countries have negative Intertemporal Net Financial Worth (INFW), falling short of their intertemporal budget constraint. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613501

Productivity growth and value chains in four European countries

Karpowicz, Izabela; Suphaphiphat, Nujin - 2020

Advanced economies have been witnessing a pronounced slowdown of productivity growth since the global financial crisis that is accompanied in recent years by a withdrawal from trade integration processes. We study the determinants of productivity slowdown over the past two decades in four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170132

How do experts forecast sovereign spreads?

Cimadomo, Jacopo; Claeys, Peter; Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos - 2016

survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 2014, we test whether respondents …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711356

Household wealth and resilience to financial shocks in Italy

Garcia-Macia, Daniel - 2018

High household wealth is often cited as a key strength of the Italian economy. Both in absolute terms and relative to income, the Italian household sector is wealthier than most euro area peers. A sizable fraction of this wealth is held by the rich and upper middle classes. This paper documents...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905929

How loose, how tight? : a measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area

Batini, Nicoletta; Cantelmo, Alessandro; Melina, Giovanni; … - 2020

This paper builds a model-based dynamic monetary and fiscal conditions index (DMFCI) and uses it to examine the evolution of the joint stance of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro area (EA) and in its three largest member countries over the period 2007-2018. The index is based on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251959

Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Bui, Trung - 2011

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire in financial volatility as the debt problem contagiously spreads around the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398383

Wealth Effects in Europe : A Tale of Two Countries (Italy and the United Kingdom)

Muñoz, Sònia - 2006

impact on the economy. I analyze household data for Italy and the United Kingdom, countries that differ dramatically in their … constraints only in Italy and habit formation exclusively in the United Kingdom …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399777

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