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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388660
Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugal. The stability of Germany is a close proxy for the resilience of the euro … during 2009–12 were due to idiosyncratic factors, market developments in Italy and Spain contributed significantly, likely …’s sovereign CDS despite initial widespread concerns about such linkages. Spain and Italy show a notable co-dependence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411217
observed in developing countries, although some resemblance to this pattern could be found in Italy in 1987–92 and Greece in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403352
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This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility spillovers to stock markets in the Asian region during three different periods in the last decade: the pre-Long Term Capital Management crisis period, the ""tech bubble"" period, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight given by the model is that the current account might help predict future stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401280
This paper develops a simple model to study the impact of stock markets on the current account. A closed-form solution for the current account is derived from the optimal portfolio and consumption/saving choices of a representative agent. Formally, the model can be seen as a stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402005
Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154563
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