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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679023
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector … estate investment in China though a low-probability event would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of China … and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China's real estate investment would shave about 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679024
The empirical analysis in ""International R&D Spillovers"" (Coe and Helpman, 1995) is first revisited by applying modern panel cointegration estimation techniques to an expanded data set that we have constructed for the purpose of this study. The new estimates confirm the key results reported in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400689
Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395581
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector … estate investment in China—though a low-probability event—would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of China … and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China’s real estate investment would shave about 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395603
While expanding public investment can help filling infrastructure bottlenecks, scaling up too much and too fast often … public investment in a large sample of road construction projects in developing countries. Consistent with the presence of … absorptive capacity constraints, our results show a non-linear U-shaped relationship between public investment and project costs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726532
External headwinds, together with domestic vulnerabilities, have loomed over the prospects of emerging markets in recent years. We propose an empirical toolbox to quantify the impact of external macro-financial shocks on domestic economies in parsimonious way. Our model is a Bayesian VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445607
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446372
This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671602