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economy is at the effective lower bound (ELB) or in normal times does not seem to matter for the size of the multiplier … average multiplier is about 1 in normal times and between 1.6 and 2.8 at the ELB, depending on the specification. The … difference between the two multipliers is distributed largely away from zero. More generally, the multiplier is inversely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102056
-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negative matters for the size of the multiplier. Median … multiplier is inversely correlated with r-g. The calculations are based on the estimates of a factor-augmented interacted panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518304
In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non- Ricardian households is in general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401503
This paper explains why EMU countries seem unable or unwilling to undertake structural reforms of public expenditure. One of the reasons is political. What public expenditure reforms might be pursued without changing the political system? Without political reforms, technical improvements made to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403530
This paper studies the fiscal multiplier using a small-open-economy DSGE model enriched with financial frictions. It … shows that the multiplier is large when frictions are present in domestic and international financial markets. The reason is … ignore the presence of frictions in international capital markets tend to underestimate the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711776
government spending and pushing up the output multiplier. The same external financing, however, tends to appreciate the real … exchange rate and as a result, traded output can respond quite negatively, reducing the overall output multiplier. Although … dampen the output multiplier. Since LICs often import substantial amounts of goods, public investment may not be as effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445535
This paper provides estimates of the government spending multiplier over the monetary policy cycle. We identify …, we find that the federal government spending multiplier is substantially higher under accommodative than non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374724
multipliers for the United States. With these results, it computes the cumulative multiplier of Ramey and Zubairy (2018), now … multiplier is much larger than the cumulative spending one. Hence, the conclusions depend on the definition of multiplier. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170143
Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states using two distinct models: an empirical forecast error model with data from 23 small states across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009996
At a time when Algeria must undertake considerable fiscal consolidation to restore sustainability, the issue of fiscal multipliers has come to the fore. This paper estimates short-term and long-term fiscal multipliers for Algeria applying several econometric methodologies, including Local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866389