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, suggesting a heightened role for precautionary savings. This paper uses a parameterized small open economy model to quantify the … role of precautionary savings in economies with exhaustible resources, when the only source of uncertainty is the price of … the exhaustible resource. Results show that the precautionary motive can generate sizable external sector savings. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402572
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396572
incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in … savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396005
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615558
In this paper we assess the implications of precautionary savings for global imbalances by considering a world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399356
lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a … panel of advanced economies that greater labor income uncertainty is significantly associated with higher household savings …. These results are robust to controlling for other determinants of saving rates, including wealth-to-income ratios, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726452
demographic groups, although the age-profile of savings has an unusual U-shaped pattern, with saving rates being the highest among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401821
Evans (1991) has demonstrated that Blanchard’s (1985) finite-horizon model obeys approximate Ricardian equivalence. We show that this result is determined largely by an unrealistic assumption that labor income grows monotonically over a consumer’s entire lifetime. Introducing more realistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395872
The household saving ratio in France has undergone very sharp changes over the past two decades, falling dramatically in the first part of the 1980s before rising in more recent years. This paper emphasizes two factors in the evolution of private saving in France. The first relates to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395930