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fertility, and (iv) there is a need for more public spending on childcare for age 6-11 in Japan and Korea to help women continue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281943
Latin America was hit hard by Covid-19, both in terms of lives and livelihoods. Early lockdowns in the second quarter of 2020 prevented an explosion of deaths at the time but did not stop the pandemic from later wreaking havoc in the region. This paper investigates the dynamics of pandemics in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610772
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed at the International Monetary Fund for policy analysis and international economic research. This paper documents the incorporation of demographic features into the model. The analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300678
general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low … fertility today lowers the domestic return to capital and raises the domestic return to labor. In addition, the paper finds no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404019
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the permanent income hypothesis to reassess national savings behavior, with greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395270
Using a sample of 97 countries spanning the period 1980?2008, we estimate that financial crises have a large negative impact on unemployment in the short term, but that this effect rapidly disappears in the medium term in countries with flexible labor market institutions, whereas the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572447
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572457
This paper examines the empirical link between fiscal policy and the current account focusing on microstates defined as countries with a population of less than 2 million between 1970 and 2009. The paper employs panel regression and panel vector autoregression (VAR) on 155 countries of which 42...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572529
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009423901