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poverty reduction and inclusiveness in India. We explore the role of economic policies and macrofinancial conditions in …
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BRICs development financing flows have increased significantly and are expected to become more prominent in the post-crisis era. We investigate the potential implications on the country-allocation of loan commitments and the degree of concessionality using a panel vector autoregression model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397783
estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in potential …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394381
This paper focusses on income inequality in Asia, its drivers and policies to combat it. It finds that income inequality has risen in most of Asia, in contrast to many regions. While in the past, rapid growth in Asia has come with equitable distribution of the gains, more recently fast-growing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445358
Output gap estimates are subject to a wide range of uncertainty owing to data revisions and the difficulty in distinguishing between cycle and trend in real time. This is important given the central role in monetary policy of assessments of economic activity relative to capacity. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275788
This paper explores the contribution of credit growth and the composition of credit portfolio (corporate, consumer, and housing credit) to economic growth in emerging market economies (EMs). Using cross-country panel regressions, we find significant impact of credit growth on real GDP growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373994
We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is distributed among many models, suggesting the superiority of BMA over any single model. Out-of-sample predictive results support that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400642