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This paper examines whether expansionary credit policy can help sustain output growth in transition economies, with particular reference to Ukraine’s experience since 1992. We find that, while real credit growth is indeed associated with higher output growth, an increase in the growth rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395883
, this paper uses a panel of 165 countries and data for 1960-2007 to revisit the nexus between inflation and growth. We use a …Motivated by the global inflation episode of 2007-08 and concern that high levels of inflation could undermine growth … smooth transition model to investigate the speed at which inflation beyond a threshold becomes harmful to growth, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402874
Central bankers often assert that low inflation and anchoring of inflation expectations are good for economic growth … (Bernanke 2007, Plosser 2007). We test this claim using panel data on sectoral growth for 22 manufacturing industries for 36 … advanced and emerging market economies over the period 1990-2014. Inflation anchoring in each country is measured as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809557
attributed to low inflation expectations and low productivity growth. There is no evidence - from either aggregate or micro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155220
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418077
We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. This allows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that the Phillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … dynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a more detailed understanding of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852615
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281898
Yemen has had a high and volatile rate of inflation in recent years. This paper studies the underlying determinants of … inflation dynamics in Yemen using three different approaches: (i) a single equation model, (ii) a Structural Vector … Autoregression Model, and (iii) a Vector Error Correction Model. The outcomes suggest that inflation dynamics in Yemen are driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403227
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622462