Showing 1 - 10 of 1,674
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
What is global liquidity and how does it affect an economy? The paper addresses that question by looking at liquidity from two different perspectives: global liquidity as availability of funds in safe and risky asset markets. This distinction between safe and risky asset markets is important due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399252
This paper examines the relevance of PPP, the adjustment channel of real exchange rate and the predictability of the movement in nominal exchange rate by studying the behavior of yen/DM exchange rate, using cointegration method. Results support PPP and find that the real exchange rate is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399967
When constructing hedged interest rate arbitrage portfolios for basket currencies, two issues arise: first, how are the unknown future basket weights optimally forecasted from past exchange rate data? And, second, how is risk—in terms of the conditional variance of expected profits from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400299
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the extent to which the rise in asset prices was influenced by developments in global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398415
This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased … volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper … should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398639
This paper builds on the ARCH approach for modeling distributions with time-varying conditional variance by using the generalized Student t distribution. The distribution offers flexibility in modeling both leptokurtosis and asymmetry (characteristics seen in high-frequency financial time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400775
frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year—may be more challenging as … uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity … spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402681
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563