Showing 1 - 10 of 15
How do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170265
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486289
We analyze the medium-term macroeconomic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and associated lock-down measures on low-income countries. We focus on the impact over the medium-run of the degradation of health and human capital caused by the pandemic and its aftermath, exploring the trade-offs between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170278
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, debt levels in emerging and developing economies have surged raising concerns … about fiscal sustainability. Historically, negative interest-growth differentials in these countries have played a debt …-stabilizing role. But is this enough to prevent countries from falling into debt distress? Drawing from a sample of 150 emerging and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796777
debt sustainability over the next decade, taking into account alternative recovery scenarios and associated fiscal … persistent economic effects of the pandemic, risks to the Dutch fiscal and debt sustainability would remain contained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485963
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487242
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392092
level of debt. In other words, evidence points to non-linearities in the effects of fiscal policy. This paper provides a … framework to examine the role of the level of government debt in the assessment of consolidation policies across the business … cycle, allowing for the consolidation multiplier to depend on the level of debt at the time of consolidation. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392585
We introduce a new suite of macroeconomic models that extend and complement the Debt, Investment, and Growth (DIG …'s properties by analyzing the growth, debt, and distributional consequences of big-push public investment programs with different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252029
With public debt soaring across the world, a growing concern is whether current debt levels are a harbinger of fiscal … true cost of debt may be overstated if interest rates remain low. To shed light into this debate, this paper re …-examines the importance of public debt as a leading indicator of fiscal crises using machine learning techniques to account for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170046