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We investigate the properties of Johansen''s (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the empirically relevant situation of near-integrated variables. Using Monte Carlo techniques, we show that in a system with near-integrated variables, the probability of reaching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401263
The time-series properties of real exchange rates, on a number of definitions, for 22 industrial countries during 1979-95 were used to re-examine whether PPP holds. It is shown that if real exchange rates reverted to a constant mean slowly, say by five percent a month, then at standard levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398375
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the … findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad … retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796185
currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining … low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly … benefit mainly from lower inflation. By contrast, the real consumption of individuals at higher ends of the consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518926
Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount …-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613475
Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613705
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487229
aftermath of the global financial crisis as CCA countries have entered a relatively low inflation environment. The pass …-through estimates could be used by the CCA monetary authorities for inflation projections. The absence of non-linearities in the pass …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300671
that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302067
We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database …, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks … response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251990