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flows during the Great Recession to those during the 1981 recession, and (4) highlight the importance of looking beyond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155058
using macroeconomic data on employment, unemployment, participation, and (for Canada) migration and real wages. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402300
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment … unemployment at five-year horizons are significantly above one during PR episodes. These results suggest that medium-term fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281894
medium-term business cycle fluctuations in GDP, its components and the unemployment rate. Additionally, it facilitates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388661
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415
approach, the unemployment rate is on average 0.8 percentage points (ppts) higher than the official unemployment rate, with a …-cycle fluctuations in the unemployment rate from job separation, job finding, and participation. Correcting for misclassification changes … unemployment fluctuations, while participation accounts for fewer. The methodology I propose can be applied to any other labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170607
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190