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We analyze the impact of trade policy uncertainty on investment in the euro area. Our identification strategy assumes … respect to trade uncertainty. We find that the investment-to-GDP ratio is on average 0.8 percentage points lower for five … quarters following a one standard deviation increase in the level of trade uncertainty. We demonstrate that these results are …
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'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit constraints. Saving in the … uncertainty. An estimated structural version of the model suggests that increased credit availability accounts for …
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We study the impact of the COVID-19 recession on capital structure of publicly listed U.S. firms. Our estimates suggest leverage (Net Debt/Asset) decreased by 5.3 percentage points from the pre-shock mean of 19.6 percent, while debt maturity increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is...
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We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed...
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