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debt increases in the run up to a crisis. But in the face of persistent primary deficits, debt service tends to rise … abruptly-particularly in emerging markets-and a fiscal crisis ensues. There is also evidence that a large part of the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796777
Epidemics may have social scarring effects, increasing the likelihood of social unrest. They may also have mitigating effect, suppressing unrest by dissuading social activities. Using a new monthly panel on social unrest in 130 countries, we find a positive cross-sectional relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517929
We evaluate the direct employment effect of the public investment in key infrastructure-electricity, roads, schools and hospitals, and water and sanitation. Using rich firm-level panel data from 41 countries over 19 years, we estimate that USD 1 million of public spending in infrastructure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613477
With public debt soaring across the world, a growing concern is whether current debt levels are a harbinger of fiscal crises, thereby restricting the policy space in a downturn. The empirical evidence to date is however inconclusive, and the true cost of debt may be overstated if interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170046
specific language like 'fear', 'risk', 'hedging', 'opinion', and, 'crisis', as well as 'positive' and 'negative' sentiments, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155004
This paper surveys the literature on the relationship between international trade and inclusive growth. It examines claims that the rise in inequality in many countries can be attributed to the concurrent rise in trade competition, especially from EMEs like China, spurring trade tensions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518909
globalization hurt sectors where jobs are routinizable but helped others that require specialized skills. High-skilled professionals … share owing to globalization and the erosion of labor market safety nets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009975
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