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We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251966
We study the transmission of monetary shocks across euro-area countries using a dynamic factor model and high-frequency identification. We develop a methodology to assess the degree of heterogeneity, which we find to be low in financial variables and output, but significant in consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252067
Soaring real estate prices and valuations despite the economic downturn brought by the pandemic have focussed the attention of Dutch policymakers on potential macro-financial and socio-economic implications. In this context, our paper reviews the salient features of Dutch commercial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605499
To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This paper finds that downside risks to housing markets in the United States have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251283
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486246
over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three …, they are highly synchronized within countries, particularly credit and house price cycles. The extent of synchronization of … financial cycles across countries is high as well, mainly for credit and equity cycles, and has been increasing over time. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400944
The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019855
We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in … advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House price cycles generally lead credit …, while the U.S. credit cycle leads mainly over the long term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402267
-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in … house prices and credit. However, the impact is delayed and reaches its peak only after three years. In addition, the impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009445
Nonlocal mortgage lenders with greater exposure to high-growth housing markets accept fewer loan applications in these … credit to a significantly greater degree than when they ex-pand to other markets. Mean-variance analyses show that nonlocal … lenders' exposure to high-growth markets is associated with more risk, more efficiency, and more return on mortgage portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612342