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supply-side channels, I estimate the model separately for tradable and non-tradable sectors. Finally I use benefit extensions … impact of benefit extensions on activity is positive, pointing to strong demand effects; (ii) that, even in tradable sectors …, there are no negative supply-side effects from work disincentives; and (iii) a fiscal multiplier estimate of 1.92, similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518891
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620965
The output effects of 2009 fiscal expansions have been hotly debated. But the discussion of fiscal multipliers is even more relevant now that several European countries have had to quickly retract their stimulus measures in an effort to regain market confidence. Using regime-switching VARs we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395687
This paper provides estimates of the government spending multiplier over the monetary policy cycle. We identify …, we find that the federal government spending multiplier is substantially higher under accommodative than non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374724
This paper investigates how macroeconomic uncertainty affects the fiscal multiplier of public investment. In theory …, uncertainty can reduce the multiplier if the private sector becomes more cautious and does not respond to the fiscal stimulus …. Conversely, it can increase the fiscal multiplier if public investment shocks improve private agents' expectations about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796171
theory (Myers 1977). We also find that the effect of public investment on corporate investment is much weaker for firms that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391930
Using the post-WWII data of U.S. federal corporate income tax changes, within a Smooth Transition VAR, this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt-dependent: it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low. To explore the mechanisms that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251390
The paper assesses, using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus. Models can, more easily than empirical studies, account for differences between fiscal instruments, for differences between structural characteristics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402816
We estimate tax multipliers in a ""Blanchard-Yaari"" consumption model where Ricardian equivalence is broken because the private sector discounts the future at a faster rate than the real rate of interest. The model fits U.S. data since 1955 extremely well-entailing a discount wedge of around 20...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402981
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399540