This paper assesses liquidity risk for the United States (U.S.) bond mutual funds industry and performs a range of …

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its … GaR analysis, policymakers can quantify the likelihood of risk scenarios, which would serve as a basis for preemptive …

This paper uses the Growth-at-Risk (GaR) methodology to examine how macrofinancial conditions affect the growth outlook …

The paper discusses the limits to market-based risk transfer in the financial system and the implications for the … markets as part of governments'' role as a risk manager …

We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …

The analysis of interconnectedness and contagion is an important part of the financial stability and risk assessment of …

We study the growth determinants in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU), using the Growth at Risk (GaR …

This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic … financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard … of out-of sample forecasting power for tail risk realizations of real activity for several countries, suggesting the …