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. Conflict is also associated with dramatic declines in official trade, with exports (imports) estimated to be 58 (34) percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252077
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392097
Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains … evolution over time in order to contribute to this topic. We find that GVC-related trade, rather than conventional trade, has a … the standard gravity literature for GVC trade; highlighting the key role of institutional features such as contract …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001583
Global merchandise trade expanded rapidly over the last 6 1\2 decades and its relationship with global income has seen … in the current and longer term context. The conjunctural context comes from, among other things, the 'great trade … the relative role of 'globalization' and 'technology' shocks in accounting for the short and long run variance of global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711761
advantage. Financial globalization then induces more specialization and more trade. The present framework yields explicit closed … industrial specialization and low international trade. As international portfolio diversification is limited and productivity is …-form solutions for the volume and the structure of trade. Empirical results support the implications of the theory. Trade in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403975
and liabilities (such as trade imbalances, investment income flows, and capital gains) for major external creditors and … the weight of U.S. liabilities in the rest of the world''s stock of external assets. Finally, it relates the empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404202
wisdom that globalization has increased the degree of synchronization of business cycles. The evidence that trade and …This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404021
While there is an extensive literature examining the economic impact of conflict and political instability, surprisingly there have been few studies on their impact on the probability of banking crises. This paper therefore investigates whether rising conflict and political instability globally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251282
Using panel data for a large number of countries, we find that economic contractions are not followed by offsetting fast recoveries. Trend output lost is not regained, on average. Wars, crises, and other negative shocks lead to absolute divergence and lower long-run growth, whereas we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400694
The paper finds a significant shift in the economic characteristics of civil conflicts during the1990s. Conflicts have become shorter but with more severe contractions and a stronger recovery of growth. The overall length and cost of the conflict cycle has probably declined. The stance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399713