service debt. Expectations of interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates are modeled in a way that is consistent with the …

relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes … flatter as inflation declines. Second, macroeconomic volatility shifts the Phillips curve outward, implying that stabilization …, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of …

In this paper three possible reasons are examined for a sluggish inflation response to a hard currency peg. Models of … credibility and the speed of private sector learning, which are shown to have a major impact on the speed of inflation adjustment …. But even if individual agents believe the government will not devalue, it is shown that inflation inertia can still arise …

This paper explains why sovereign issuers of reserve currencies do not use unexpected inflation to repudiate their … excessive money creation. It is shown that even without policy precommitment or aversion to inflation, the availability of … alternative currencies can support an equilibrium with a finite, time consistent inflation rate …

inflation targeting regime in the transmission from exchange rate movements to prices. We perform a set of robustness checks …

Intuitively core inflation is understood as a measure of inflation where noisy price movements are avoided. This is … discarded. Therefore, we propose a new type of core inflation measure, one that takes simultaneously into account both …

This paper examines the implications of elevated global food prices for inflation in select Central Asian economies … - Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The findings suggest that global food inflation has significant … short-run effects that build over time. Inflation outcomes simulated under alternative global wheat price assumptions …