Showing 1 - 10 of 1,552
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
Value-at-Risk (VaR) models often are used to estimate the equity investment that is required to limit the default rate … income required by investors. While this issue has been identified in the market risk setting, it has yet to be recognized in … the credit risk literature. Credit VaR techniques, as typically described, are not an appropriate basis for setting equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401660
This paper applies the maximum likelihood panel cointegration method of Larsson and Lyhagen (2007) to test the strong PPP hypothesis using data for the G7 countries. This method is robust in several important dimensions relative to previous methods, including the well-known issue of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401245
The paper suggests an econometric methodology for testing the effectiveness of reforms implemented in one major step, i.e., discrete reforms. The methodology is based on the exogeneity properties of variables in an econometric model. The paper specifies the preconditions for setting up an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400112
This paper examines some recent techniques designed to draw inferences about the credibility of changes in macroeconomic policy regimes. An alternative two-step approach, based on the decomposition between permanent and transitory components of a "credibility variable" is proposed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397806
The paper proposes an algorithm that uses forecast encompassing tests for combining forecasts. The algorithm excludes a forecast from the combination if it is encompassed by another forecast. To assess the usefulness of this approach, an extensive empirical analysis is undertaken using a U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401070
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796736
Are assets in a landlocked country subject to sea-level rise risk? In this paper, we study the cross-border spillovers … data between 1970 and 2018, we observe that globalization increased the similarity of countries' global climate risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487302
vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848202
Cyber risk is an emerging source of systemic risk in the financial sector, and possibly a macro-critical risk too. It … approaches to assess and monitor cyber risk to the financial sector, including various approaches to stress testing. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170162