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rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria … could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the … than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico's FXIs data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518276
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entailing sudden tax changes, or even requiring new borrowing. After … fiscal savings (reserves), and the impact alternate policy choices could have on revenue volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400988
With the rapid growth of countries' foreign asset and liability positions over the last two decades, financial returns on those positions ('NFA returns') have become material drivers of current accounts and net stock positions. This paper documents the relative importance of NFA return versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848254
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for … volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was consistent with both volatility clustering and mean reversion … specification improvements were always possible. The model corroborated stylized findings in volatility modeling and has potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400143
Measuring and managing exchange rate risk exposure is important for reducing a firm''s vulnerabilities from major exchange rate movements, which could adversely affect profit margins and the value of assets. This paper reviews the traditional types of exchange rate risk faced by firms, namely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400190
We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks there is substantial dispersion in these exposures, which is partly explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400963
for the period 1970–92. Simulation results indicate that the observed volatility of multilateral real exchange rates for … the United States, Germany and Japan is not inconsistent with exchange rate volatility implied by consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397963
fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636