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This paper investigates the extent to which output has recovered from the Asian crisis. A regime-switching approach that introduces two state variables is used to decompose recessions in a set of six Asian countries into permanent and transitory components. While growth recovered fairly quickly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404003
This paper investigates empirically the degree of international integration of industrial and emerging country equity markets. It analyzes two issues: first, the extent to which equity prices have tended to move similarly across countries and regions in the long run; and second, the strength of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397857
This paper develops a simple methodology to test for asset integration, and applies it within and between American stock markets. Our technique relies on estimating and comparing expected risk-free rates across assets. Expected risk-free rates are allowed to vary freely over time, constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404174
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It … argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small …-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398637
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359852
Singapore also were important spillover sources within the Asian region and affected United States to a lesser degree during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
Stock markets play a key role in corporate financing in Asia. However, despite their increasing importance in terms of … theory, as well as accounting literature, we find evidence of greater idiosyncratic influences in the pricing of Asia’s stock … stock pricing, which suggests that improvements in the regulation of securities markets in Asia could enhance the role of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411156
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties … of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six … subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
means of co-integration tests. The results suggest that at least for two markets profitable trading rules can be developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398635
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371