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This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
regions in the long run; and second, the strength of cross-country “contagion” effects. The paper’s findings suggest that both …, using impulse response functions, the paper shows that cross-country contagion effects of country-specific shocks dissipate … in a matter of weeks while contagion effects of global shocks take several months to unwind themselves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397857
Models of “contagion” rely on market imperfections to explain why adverse shocks in one asset market might be … associated with asset sales in many unrelated markets. This paper demonstrates that contagion can be explained with basic … do not have significantly different consequences for portfolio rebalancing and contagion than other rules. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424862
We examine the spillover effects between sovereigns and banks in a model with a heterogeneous banking system. An increase in sovereign's default risk affects financial intermediaries through two channels in this model. First, banks' funding costs might increase, inducing higher interest rates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009433
The analysis of interconnectedness and contagion is an important part of the financial stability and risk assessment of … analysis of interconnectedness and contagion for a country's financial system under various circumstances. We survey current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122482
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487130
Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518928
Using newly-constructed data covering the last decade, we document that, in most of forty markets, when added to the main index, firms’ returns experience an increase in comovement with the rest of the index, reflected in higher beta and greater explanatory power of the market return. Stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402208
We explore the link between international stock market comovement and the degree to which firms operate globally. Using stock returns and balance sheet data for companies in 20 countries, we estimate a factor model that decomposes stock returns into global, country-specific and industry-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403861