Showing 1 - 10 of 1,712
Korea's economy has leaped to high-income status thanks to several decades of sustained high growth. However, population aging and shifts in global demand provide headwinds for future growth and Korea now faces the effects of COVID-19 on economic activity. This paper asseses the expected drag on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604751
This paper draws out the parallels between Korea and Japan in terms of demographics, potential growth, balance sheets …, asset prices and inflation. Korea's demographic trends seem to track Japan's with a lag of about 20 years. Low productivity … reforms. While Korea's corporate balance sheets are stronger than Japan's in the early 1990s, Korea needs to progress with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716396
Japan faces the problem of how to finance retirement, health, and long-term care expenditures as the population ages … of Japan. We find that financing the costs of aging through gradual increases in the consumption tax rate delivers a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978385
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441751
This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411432
Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan's outlook using the IMF …-fully-believed path of structural reforms can significantly offset the adverse effect of Japan's demographic headwinds - a declining and … ageing population - on real GDP (by about 15 percent in the next 40 years), but would not boost inflation or contribute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978382
over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404250
The paper develops a simple, integrated methodology to project public pension cash flows and healthcare spending over the long term. We illustrate its features by applying it to the LAC5 (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico), where public spending pressures are expected to increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671097
The paper assesses the government expenditure effects from changing demographics in the Asian “Tiger” economies through 2050. With some exceptions, their limited social insurance commitments initially suggest that aging populations may not adversely affect fiscal balances. Yet for all the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400543
This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007-08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019853