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, to economically and statistically significant declines in domestic output and productivity. Tariff increases also result …. The effects on output and productivity tend to be magnified when tariffs rise during expansions, for advanced economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001500
of standard Real Business Cycle models, a positive shock to the underlying rate of total factor productivity growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401506
This paper provides the first assessment of the contribution of idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations in an emerging market using confidential data on the universe of Chilean firms. We find that idiosyncratic shocks account for more than 40 percent of the volatility of aggregate sales....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795043
How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395178
This paper estimates the effects of trade liberalization on plant productivity. In contrast to previous studies, we … distinguish between productivity gains arising from lower tariffs on final goods relative to lower tariffs on intermediate inputs …. Lower output tariffs can produce productivity gains by inducing tougher import competition whereas cheaper imported inputs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400616
Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403910
Relative GDP shares are frequently used as weights in aggregations. In order to ensure that these weights reflect countries’ shares in real output, GDP data in national currencies should be converted into a common numeraire currency at purchasing power parity (PPP) rates. A review of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398543
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of business cycles and the extent of cyclical comovement in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, using various measures of synchronization for non-hydrocarbon GDP and constituents of aggregate demand during the period 1990-2010. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397084
We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and nontraded productivity levels, and … find that in 1991 (the last year productivity data are available) there is less overvaluation of the U.S. dollar than that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401799