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, which is more pronounced for higher maturities and when risk aversion proxied by bond market volatility is high. Going …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154614
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852573
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
This paper studies the behavior of interest rate differentials in Mexico during the 1992-94 period. It shows that the currency risk premia is positively related to the share of peso denominated debt in total debt and that the magnitude of this effect is considerable. For every 1 percentage point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398127
The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403081
forecasting horizon, both in- and out-of-sample. Finally, a regime-switching estimation shows that the systematic risk component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400877
Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re …. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility … “volatility”, however, may disguise the cause of rejection as excessive exchange rate volatility. This a Working Paper and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398025
volatility in determining a firm's debt currency composition, among other channels. Furthermore, the effect of exchange rate … volatility becomes statistically insignificant beyond an estimated threshold credit-to-GDP ratio of 100 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102196
standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155038
for the period 1970–92. Simulation results indicate that the observed volatility of multilateral real exchange rates for … the United States, Germany and Japan is not inconsistent with exchange rate volatility implied by consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397963