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precautionary oil demand shock. The paper''s aim is to model macroeconomic consequences of these shocks within a new Keynesian DSGE … and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402212
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … resultant heteroskedastic linearized DSGE model preserves the satisfactory simulation and forecasting performance of its nested …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
The simulated results of this paper show that New Keynesian DSGE models with capital accumulation can generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396830
We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112123
Conventional VAR and non-VAR methods of identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on the economy have found a negative output response to monetary tightening using U.S. data over the 1960s-1990s. However, we show that these methods fail to find this contractionary effect when the sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397365
Motivated by the increasing interest in analyzing the links between the financial sector and the real economy, we develop a macro-financial structural model with two novel features. First, we include idiosyncratic and aggregate risk in a tractable general equilibrium model. This allows us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391995
When estimating DSGE models, the number of observable economic variables is usually kept small, and it is conveniently … assumed that DSGE model variables are perfectly measured by a single data series. Building upon Boivin and Giannoni (2006), we … relax these two assumptions and estimate a fairly simple monetary DSGE model on a richer data set. Using post-1983 U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398279
Even prior to the extreme volatility just observed, output growth volatility-following protracted decline … country to transmit rapidly to other countries, creating the potential for heightened global volatility. The higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402815
We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251966
high frequency. The model yields predictions on biweekly patterns of the federal funds rate’s volatility and on its …. Theoretical results are consistent with empirical patterns of interest rate volatility in the U.S. market for federal funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399599