Showing 1 - 10 of 1,764
fiscal and financial accounting obligations. SARAs are legal entities, such as a service or a department, which are required … to prepare accrual records that may diverge from a treasury''s cash accounting records. Their records reflect revenues … generated; budget funds for generating the revenues; and material programs administered for other agencies. The accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401680
We analyze the relationship between international trade and the quality of economic institutions, such as contract enforcement, rule of law, and property rights. In our model, firms differ in their preferences for institutional quality, which is determined endogenously in a political economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402396
Labor market indicators are critical for policymakers, but measurement error in labor force survey data is known to be substantial. In this paper, I quantify the implications of classification errors in the U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS), in which respondents misreport their true labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422676
While expanding public investment can help filling infrastructure bottlenecks, scaling up too much and too fast often leads to inefficient outcomes. This paper rationalizes this outcome looking at the association between cost inflation and public investment in a large sample of road construction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251291
Should policymakers wait for fiscal crisis early warning signals before repairing the roof? We give an answer to this question by investigating the interlinkages between early warning signals for fiscal crisis, policy responses, and policy outcomes, using a broad panel of 119 countries. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848256
In recent years, term premia have been very low and sometimes even negative. Now, with the United States economy growing above potential, inflationary pressures are on the rise. Term premia are very sensitive to the expected future path of growth, inflation, and monetary policy, and an inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866493
We demonstrate that durable MFN tariff elimination affects trade patterns through several layers, which generates non-linear impacts. First, complete tariff elimination results in a large additional trade gains over and above tariff reductions. Second, commitment to durable tariff elimination,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852644
This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401046
This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight given by the model is that the current account might help predict future stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401280