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German bond yields and debt supply : is there a "bund premium"?
Paret, Anne-Charlotte; Weber, Anke - 2019
, which is more pronounced for higher maturities and when risk aversion proxied by bond market volatility is high. Going …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154614
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Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets
Merritt, Matthew D. - 2006
Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402492
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Volatility and Jump Risk Premia in Emerging Market Bonds
Matovu, John - 2007
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and … associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method … of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400896
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Forecasting Accuracy of Crude Oil Futures Prices
Kumar, Manmohan S. - 1991
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395895
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Oil prices and GCC stock markets : new evidence from smooth transition models
Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben; Ben Naceur, Samy; Kanaan, … - 2018
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852573
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Granger predictability of oil prices after the Great Recession
Benk, Szilárd; Gillman, Max - 2019
Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154675
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Volatility of Oil Prices
Wickham, Peter - 1996
This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396128
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Deviations of Exchange Rates From Purchasing Power Parity : A Story Featuring Two Monetary Unions
MacDonald, Ronald - 1998
We examine the mean-reverting properties of real exchange rates, by comparing the unit root properties of a group of international real exchange rates with two groups of intra-national real exchange rates. Strikingly, we find that while the international real rates taken as a group appear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400558
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Scenario analysis with the DD-PD mapping approach : stock market shocks and U.S. corporate default risk
Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2021
, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
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The U.S. oil supply revolution and the global economy
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - 2015
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445835