Portfolio credit risk measurement is greatly affected by data constraints, especially when focusing on loans given to … simply ignore the effects of macroeconomic shocks on credit risk. Aiming to improve the measurement of portfolio credit risk … macroeconomic shocks into credit risk, recovering robust estimators when only short time series of loans exist. CIMDO recovers …

Value-at-Risk (VaR) models often are used to estimate the equity investment that is required to limit the default rate … income required by investors. While this issue has been identified in the market risk setting, it has yet to be recognized in … the credit risk literature. Credit VaR techniques, as typically described, are not an appropriate basis for setting equity …

increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is stronger for firms exposed to significant rollover risk, while firms whose …

We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies … patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas … mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that …

foreign exchange, interest rate, and credit risk. For surveillance purposes, this framework can easily be integrated into one …

The financial market turmoil of recent months has highlighted the importance of counterparty risk. Here, we discuss … counterparty risk that may stem from the OTC derivatives markets and attempt to assess the scope of potential cascade effects. This … risk is measured by losses to the financial system that may result via the OTC derivative contracts from the default of one …

Are assets in a landlocked country subject to sea-level rise risk? In this paper, we study the cross-border spillovers … data between 1970 and 2018, we observe that globalization increased the similarity of countries' global climate risk …

We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …