Showing 1 - 10 of 854
This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic … capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401716
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis … studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived … increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395913
We examine the mean-reverting properties of real exchange rates, by comparing the unit root properties of a group of international real exchange rates with two groups of intra-national real exchange rates. Strikingly, we find that while the international real rates taken as a group appear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400558
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism, to support the joint analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy. This state dependent conditional heteroskedasticity mechanism specifies the conditional variances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852573
testing of two Granger-causal linkages: the impact of return volatility in a market on intermarket correlation and the impact … of return volatility in one market on the volatility of another. Using daily data from stock, bond, currency, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400867
International capital flows can create significant financial instability in emerging economies because of pecuniary externalities associated with exchange rate movements. Does this make it optimal to impose capital controls or should policymakers rely on domestic macroprudential regulation? This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446368
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486246
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of financial cycles using a large database covering 21 advanced countries over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three main results. First, financial cycles tend to be long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400944